Macro

Market Correction Signals & Volatility

Dow and S&P 500 enter correction territory amid oil spikes and geopolitical tensions

Updated 4/13/2026

correction, volatility, oil, geopolitics

Data refreshes every 15 minutes

Market Overview

Market Indices Performance

Oil Price Impact

Strait of Hormuz Transits (Weekly — Tuesdays)

Bab el-Mandeb Strait — Red Sea/Yemen (Weekly)

Retail Gasoline Price (Weekly)

Market Risk Assessment

Medium

Risk Level

LowMediumHigh

Market Analysis

AI Analysis2026-03-31

Outlook

Mixed

As of 2026-03-31: Why are US stock market futures up, and will Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq stay green or turn red again? Wall Street futures rise, stocks to watch out for, analysts insights .... Dow gains; S&P, Nasdaq drop as oil surges on Trump warning. Risk-off has reset India's EM positioning; a broad rerating is premature. Why is the US stock market Dow Jones rising today? Dow surges over 350 points while S&P 500 and Nasdaq trade in the green - Is this the start of a full stock market recovery?.

Yield Curve Spread (Recession Indicator)

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Past Corrections

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Historical Comparison

NOW — 2026 CorrectionMar 2026

S&P Decline: ~10% from peakVIX: 27+Trigger: Iran war + tariffs

2022 Bear MarketJan - Oct 2022

Fed rate hike cycle, inflation spike

S&P Decline: -25%Duration: 10 monthsVIX Peak: 36

Outcome: Fed pivot expectations triggered recovery. Full recovery took 2 years.

2020 COVID CrashFeb - Mar 2020

Pandemic panic, economic shutdown

S&P Decline: -34%Duration: 33 daysVIX Peak: 82

Outcome: Fastest crash and recovery in history. New highs within 5 months.

2018 Q4 SelloffOct - Dec 2018

Fed tightening + trade war fears

S&P Decline: -20%Duration: 3 monthsVIX Peak: 36

Outcome: Fed paused hikes. Full recovery in 4 months.

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Recent Market Events

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2026-03-30

Why are US stock market futures up, and will Dow Jones, S&P 500 and Nasdaq stay

Source: The Economic Times

2026-03-30

Dow gains; S&P, Nasdaq drop as oil surges on Trump warning

Source: Invezz

2026-03-30

Risk-off has reset India's EM positioning; a broad rerating is premature

Source: Mint

2026-03-30

Why is the US stock market Dow Jones rising today? Dow surges over 350 points wh

Source: The Economic Times

2026-03-30

Here's one way to deal with rising market volatility

Source: The Globe and Mail

2026-03-30

US stocks experience volatility amid rising oil prices and geopolitical tensions

Source: ET Now

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Market News

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